July 2026 Structured Notes Review: The 16 That Passed the Screen

This is the second installment of a simple exercise: read every structured note on the month's new-issue calendar, run each one through the same stated criteria, and write down the ones that passed, with the terms and the reasoning attached. In June that meant 36 passes out of 150. July's calendar ran to 133 notes and only 16 passed, which says less about July being a bad month than about the cuts being easy to make: the same dull reasons as always, a coupon behind too demanding a trigger, a cap that doesn't pay for the years it ties money up, growth leverage bolted onto an index that can't deliver growth.

The usual reminder on how I count protection: I state the decline a note protects you against, so "a 50% barrier" here means you're safe until the underlying falls more than 50%. Offering documents quote the same thing as a level — my 40% barrier is their "60% of the initial level." Bigger number in my framing means more protection.

July 2026 in numbers

The 133 notes broke down as 33 snowball, 32 income, 30 growth, 15 capped, 14 hybrid, and 9 boost. Sixteen passed, and every note's terms and one-line screening notes live in the screen results section at the bottom of this page, served straight from our notes database.

If you read the June review, the category names have shifted, and that's deliberate — we re-cut the buckets to match how the notes actually behave. What we called callable is now snowball, since the accruing autocall premium is what defines most of them. Hybrid gets its own shelf for notes that pay a call premium up front but fall back to leveraged participation if never called. Capped participation notes are split out from the short boost family into capped. And principal protection is no longer a bucket of its own: a market-linked CD now sits in whatever bucket its payoff belongs to, wearing a "100% protected" tag. Same filters underneath, just better shelving.

Growth

Growth notes only pay off if the index actually climbs, so the screen's standing rule is that the underlying has to be a real, broad, un-engineered index: no decrement or volatility-control machinery, no matter how high the participation number looks.

The headline pass breaks that rule on purpose. BNP's five-year note on its Multi-Asset index (09664KNE9) pays 6x participation, uncapped, with 100% of your principal protected. The index itself is a mild, diversified grinder — the kind the screen would never accept on an unprotected growth note — but that's exactly what the CD wrapper buys you: it has finished up in roughly nine years out of ten, at a median of about 4% a year, and six times a modest grind is a real return when a bad year can't cost you principal. June had a note in this same family and it remains one of the most sensible structures on the calendar.

The other three passes are the real-index kind. Two look across the Atlantic: the five-year Euro Stoxx / EAFE note (09664M4S5) pays 1.95x uncapped behind a 30% barrier, and the two-year Euro Stoxx note (09712CN90) is back in almost exactly its June form — 1.25x, uncapped, hard 10% buffer, for someone who wants international equity exposure without a five-year commitment. The third covers US large caps: Barclays' five-year note on the S&P 500 Futures index (06749HVS1) pays 2.15x uncapped behind a 30% barrier. Four issuers ran nearly identical notes on this index in July, all clustered around 2.1x, and the Barclays print pays the most of the family. Know what you're holding, though — the futures index tracks the S&P without its dividends and less a financing charge, so it grinds a few percent a year slower than the headline index. Part of what the 2.15x buys you is compensation for that drag.

Boost

BofA re-ran its clean family of 18-month notes — 1.25x participation, hard 10% buffer, single major index — and the caps got noticeably more generous. Emerging markets (09712CWR0) now caps at 37%, which is roughly 24% a year of upside room; June's version of the same note capped at 27%. The Russell 2000 (09712CVQ3) caps at 27%, the Nasdaq-100 (09712CZT3) at 28%, and the S&P 500 (09712C6U2) at 18.75%, the ordering you'd expect from each index's volatility. Eighteen months, a real index, the first 10% of any loss absorbed — this family is what a well-built boost note looks like.

JP Morgan's 15-month S&P note (46661CB47) again takes the higher-leverage shape: 2x participation to an 11.5% cap over the same 10% buffer. You reach the ceiling on roughly a 6% index move, so it suits a view that the market grinds up modestly rather than runs.

The neighboring capped bucket — the longer-tenor cousins of these notes — goes empty this month. Fifteen notes, zero passes: stretched over three to five years, none of their caps paid enough per year of holding period to compete with the 18-month family above.

Hybrid

The new bucket's two passes are siblings: BNP three-year notes on an Apple / Microsoft / Nvidia basket with a single autocall observation at the one-year mark. If the basket is at or above its start that day, 09664KN90 pays a one-time 46.1% and you're done. If it never calls, you're left holding 3x participation on the basket at maturity, protected unless it has fallen more than 50%. Its sibling (09664KN82) trades some premium — 40.25% — for a dual-directional feature and slightly different protection, so a moderate basket decline inside the protected zone pays you a positive return instead of nothing.

Be clear-eyed about what these are: three single stocks, however large, are not an index, and a cratered stock can stay cratered in a way the S&P rarely does. That's the same warning we attached to June's mega-cap basket notes. But a 46% payment for the basket being merely flat after one year, with 3x participation as the consolation prize, is a well-paid structure if you want that exposure anyway.

Income

One pass out of 32, and the number is the story. Income notes on leveraged and decrement indices live or die on the pairing of coupon size and trigger, and the criteria haven't moved since June: a demanding trigger is only acceptable when the coupon is big enough to be paid for it. Most of July's income shelf offered ordinary coupons behind demanding triggers, which is precisely the combination the screen cuts.

The one that cleared the bar is BNP's three-year note on the S&P 500 Futures 35% Defined Volatility index (09664KM91): 18.75% annualized, paid monthly, as long as the index hasn't fallen more than 30% from its start. That's the top coupon on July's calendar, on the lower-volatility sibling of the decrement family — an index that has finished positive in about four years out of five. It's the same structure that passed in June at 18.5%: a tight trigger, but genuinely paid for.

No single-stock income notes passed again. Nothing paired a coupon exceptional enough with the no-recovery risk a single company carries.

Snowball

The workhorses this month look a lot like last month's, and that's a compliment. Two five-year BNP autocalls pay accruing premiums of 26.75% (09664KMA8) and 28% (09664KME0) a year on the defined-volatility S&P futures indices, each protected unless the index falls more than 50%. For scale, the worse of those two indices' worst calendar years was a 46.5% decline — inside the barrier. These pay their full accrued premium whenever the index is merely flat on a quarterly observation date, and both call by rule, not at the bank's discretion.

The other two passes are the fully protected kind, for money that wants flat-market returns with no principal risk. BNP's five-year digital (09664KNG4) pays a one-time 73.5% if its Multi-Asset index is at or above its starting level at maturity — an index that has finished up in about 80% of years and whose worst year was a 4% dip, so the odds of collecting are good and the cost of missing is zero. Its sibling (09664KNJ8) takes the annual-snowball form instead, accruing 14.35% a year with the same full protection. On protected notes like these, even an issuer call would only forgo upside, never principal, which is why features the screen frowns at elsewhere are acceptable here.

The criteria

The filters are the same ones we wrote down in June, applied to a new month. Fee-based notes only; anything commissioned is out before we read the terms. Buffers beat barriers of the same size. Growth notes must sit on real, broad indices, while income and snowball notes may sit on engineered ones, because those structures only need the index to stay flat and those indices carry the best terms. Every note is judged against its peers in the same month, and when one note dominates a similar one, the dominated note is dropped. Issuer calls count against unprotected notes and are forgiven on fully protected ones.

Run July's 133 through that and you get the 16 in the screen results section below, each with its terms and our one-line reasoning. A thinner month than June, but the point of the exercise is that the bar doesn't move. Next month we'll do it again.

This screen is impersonal research for financial professionals and education only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security, and a note passing the screen means it met our stated criteria, not that it suits any client. Every note listed carries the credit risk of its issuing bank and is not FDIC insured, except for genuine market-linked CDs. Terms are summarized from the July 2026 calendar and may change; confirm all details in each note's official offering documents before acting on anything here.